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America's Seniors
U.S.
2050: Hispanics will Triple...Census Bureau sees non-Hispanic
white population at 50 percent
WASHINGTON
(MSNBC) March 17, 2004 -- The U.S. Census Bureau is predicting that
the nation's Hispanic population will triple by 2050 while the
population of non-Hispanic whites increases by just 7 percent. As a
result, the non-Hispanic white population will drop to half of the total
from a current level of close to 70 percent, the report said.
Projections
for 2050 include these:
The
Hispanic population rises from 39 million to 103 million, a 188
percent increase. Their share of the nation's population nearly
doubles, from 12.6 percent to 24.4 percent.
The
black population rises from 36 million to 61 million in 2050, a 71
percent increase. That would raise their share of the country's
population from 12.7 percent to 14.6 percent.
The
non-Hispanic, white population rises from 196 million to 210
million, a 7 percent increase. This group is projected to actually
lose population in the 2040s and would comprise just 50.1 percent of
the total population in 2050, compared with 69.4 percent in 2000.
The
overall population becomes older. "Childbearing rates are
expected to remain low while baby-boomers -- people born between
1946 and 1964 -- begin to turn 65 in 2011," the Bureau noted.
"By 2030, about 1-in-5 people would be 65 or over."
The female population continues to
outnumber the male population by a slight margin. The
Bureau said its projections are based on Census 2000 results and
assumptions about future childbearing, mortality and international
migration.
It
noted that the projected 49 percent population increase by 2050
"would be in sharp contrast to most European countries, whose
populations are expected to decline by mid-century."